Opinion polling for the 2023 Dutch general election
In the run-up to the 2023 Dutch general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2021 Dutch general election, held on 15–17 March, to election day. The next election was scheduled for March 2025, but, due to the fall of the fourth Rutte cabinet, took place on 22 November 2023.[1][2] Four main pollsters performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Kantar and Peil.nl. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.
Projections
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).
Seats
There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL–PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | 50+ | BBB | BIJ1 | BVNL | NSC | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | 24 | 9 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | |||
Ipsos | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 24 | 10 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | [3] | |
Ipsos | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 23 | 10 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | [4] | |
Peil.nl | 21 Nov 2023 | 6,000+ | 26 | 8 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1 | [5] | |
I&O Research | 20–21 Nov 2023 | 2,473 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | [6] | |
Ipsos | 16–21 Nov 2023 | 2,260 | 29 | 11 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | [7] | |
I&O Research | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,473 | 27 | 8 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | Tie | [8] | |
Peil.nl | 17–18 Nov 2023 | 7,000- | 26 | 8 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | Tie | [9] | |
I&O Research | 12–14 Nov 2023 | 2,323 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 | [10] | |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,052 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 2 | [11] | |
Peil.nl | 10–11 Nov 2023 | 3,000+ | 27 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1 | [12] | |
I&O Research | 6–7 Nov 2023 | 2,190 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 | [13] | |
Peil.nl | 3–4 Nov 2023 | 4,200+ | 26 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 4 | [14] | |
Ipsos | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 1,924 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 2 | [15] | |
Peil.nl | 27–28 Oct 2023 | 4,200+ | 26 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5 | [16] | |
I&O Research | 22–24 Oct 2023 | 2,225 | 26 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | [17] | |
Peil.nl | 20–21 Oct 2023 | 3,000+ | 26 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | [18] | |
Ipsos | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 1013 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 1 | [19] | |
Peil.nl | 13–14 Oct 2023 | 3,000+ | 26 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | [20] | |
I&O Research | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,293 | 27 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | [21] | |
Peil.nl | 6–7 Oct 2023 | 3,000+ | 25 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 3 | [22] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,288 | 27 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | [23] | |
Ipsos | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 1,020 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 2 | [24] | |
Peil.nl | 22 Sep 2023 | 3,000+ | 24 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 | [25] | |
I&O Research | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,412 | 25 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | [26] | |
Peil.nl | 9 Sep 2023 | 3,000+ | 26 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | [27] | |
Ipsos | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 1,031 | 26 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | [28] | |
Peil.nl | 2 Sep 2023 | 3,000+ | 25 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 3 | [29] | |
Peil.nl | 25–26 Aug 2023 | 3,000+ | 25 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 4 | [30] | |
I&O Research | 23–24 Aug 2023 | 2,398 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | [31] | |
22 Aug 2023 | Frans Timmermans elected leader of GL/PvdA for the 2023 general election by members of both parties[32] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
20 Aug 2023 | Pieter Omtzigt launches a new party for the 2023 general election, New Social Contract[33] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 18–19 Aug 2023 | 3,000+ | 28 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | – | 2 | [34] | |
14 Aug 2023 | Henri Bontenbal appointed CDA leader for the 2023 general election[35] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14 Aug 2023 | Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius appointed VVD leader for the 2023 general election[36] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 Aug 2023 | Rob Jetten elected D66 leader for the 2023 general election by its members[37] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 1,004 | 28 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | [38] | |
I&O Research | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 2,736 | 25 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [39] | |
17 Jul 2023 | Members of the PvdA and GL vote in favour of running on a joint list at the 2023 general election[40] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 15–16 Jul 2023 | 3,000+ | 25 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 1 | – | Tie | [41] | |
25 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 28[a] | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | |||||
13 Jul 2023 | Sigrid Kaag announces that she will not serve as D66 leader for the 2023 general election[42] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 Jul 2023 | Mark Rutte announces that he will not serve as VVD leader for the 2023 general election[43] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 Jul 2023 | Wopke Hoekstra announces that he will not serve as CDA leader for the 2023 general election[44] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
7 Jul 2023 | The Fourth Rutte cabinet falls over a disagreement on asylum policy[45] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 30 Jun – 1 Jul 2023 | 3,000+ | 20 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [46] |
Ipsos | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 1,022 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 0 | – | 5 | [47] |
Peil.nl | 16–17 Jun 2023 | 3,000+ | 20 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 1 | – | 9 | [48] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,364 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 1 | – | 6 | [49] |
30 May 2023 | 2023 Dutch Senate election | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 26–29 May 2023 | 1,019 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | – | 4 | [50] |
Peil.nl | 19–20 May 2023 | 3,000+ | 18 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [51] |
I&O Research | 12–15 May 2023 | 1,872 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 1 | – | 3 | [52] |
Peil.nl | 5–6 May 2023 | 3,000+ | 18 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 1 | – | 17 | [53] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 1,002 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 0 | – | 4 | [54] |
Peil.nl | 21–22 Apr 2023 | 3,000+ | 17 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 1 | – | 19 | [55] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,197 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 0 | – | 12 | [56] |
Peil.nl | 1 Apr 2023 | 3,000+ | 18 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 1 | 1 | – | 18 | [57] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 1,005 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 0 | – | 1 | [58] |
Peil.nl | 24–25 Mar 2023 | 3,000+ | 19 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 1 | – | 14 | [59] |
15 Mar 2023 | 2023 Dutch provincial elections | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | 5,291 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | – | 13 | [60] |
Peil.nl | 24–25 Feb 2023 | 3,000+ | 21 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 1 | – | 2 | [61] |
Peil.nl | 17–18 Feb 2023 | 3,000+ | 23 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | [62] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,489 | 24 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | – | 6 | [63] |
Peil.nl | 10–11 Feb 2023 | 3.000+ | 22 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | [64] |
Ipsos | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 1,002 | 29 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | – | 11 | [65] |
I&O Research | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,489 | 24 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | [66] |
Peil.nl | 13–14 Jan 2023 | 3.000+ | 20 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [67] |
13 Jan 2023 | Gert-Jan Segers steps down as Leader of the Christian Union and is replaced by Mirjam Bikker[68] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 1,005 | 27 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | – | 9 | [69] |
Peil.nl | 16–17 Dec 2022 | 3.000+ | 20 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | – | Tie | [70] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,142 | 21 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | – | 3 | [66] |
Peil.nl | 2–3 Dec 2022 | 3.000+ | 21 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [71] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 1,040 | 27 | 17 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | – | 8 | [72] |
Peil.nl | 25–26 Nov 2022 | 3.000+ | 20 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [73] |
I&O Research | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,069 | 22 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | [74] |
Peil.nl | 11–12 Nov 2022 | 3.000+ | 20 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [75] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | 27 | 16 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | – | 6 | [76] |
Peil.nl | 21–22 Oct 2022 | 3.000+ | 21 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [77] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,205 | 21 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | – | 2 | [78] |
Peil.nl | 14–15 Oct 2022 | 3.000+ | 21 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [79] |
Ipsos | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 1,003 | 25 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | – | 5 | [80] |
Peil.nl | 23–24 Sep 2022 | 3.000+ | 21 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [81] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 1,789 | 23 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [82] |
Ipsos | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 1,007 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | – | 9 | [83] |
Peil.nl | 26–27 Aug 2022 | 3,000+ | 20 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | [84] |
Peil.nl | 5–6 Aug 2022 | 3,000+ | 21 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 1 | – | 2 | [85] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 1,009 | 29 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | – | 11 | [86] |
I&O Research | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 1,953 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | [87] |
Peil.nl | 8–9 Jul 2022 | 3,000+ | 21 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 1 | – | 1 | [88] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 1,028 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | – | 15 | [89] |
Peil.nl | 24–25 Jun 2022 | 3,000+ | 21 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 2 | – | 3 | [90] |
Peil.nl | 17–18 Jun 2022 | 3,000+ | 22 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 2 | – | 5 | [91] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,151 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | – | 9 | [92] |
Peil.nl | 10–11 Jun 2022 | 3,000+ | 23 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | – | 6 | [93] |
Ipsos | 27–30 May 2022 | 1,039 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 16 | [94] |
Peil.nl | 27–28 May 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | – | 9 | [95] |
Kantar | 25–27 May 2022 | 1,078 | 30 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | – | 14 | [96] |
I&O Research | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,356 | 28 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | [97] |
Peil.nl | 13–14 May 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | – | 9 | [98] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 1,013 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 20 | [99] |
Peil.nl | 22–23 Apr 2022 | 3,000+ | 27 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | – | 12 | [100] |
12 Apr 2022 | Lilianne Ploumen steps down as Leader of the PvdA[101] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,403 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | – | 11 | [102] |
Peil.nl | 8–9 Apr 2022 | 3,000+ | 26 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | – | 8 | [103] |
Peil.nl | 1–2 Apr 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [104] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 1,048 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | – | 14 | [105] |
Peil.nl | 25–26 Mar 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [106] |
Peil.nl | 18–19 Mar 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [107] |
16 Mar 2022 | 2022 Dutch municipal elections | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 11–12 Mar 2022 | 3,000+ | 27 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [108] |
Kantar | 9–11 Mar 2022 | 1,197 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | – | 13 | [96] |
Peil.nl | 4–5 Mar 2022 | 3,000+ | 27 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 7 | [109] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Feb 2022 | 1,025 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 12 | [110] |
Peil.nl | 25–26 Feb 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | [111] |
Peil.nl | 18–19 Feb 2022 | 3,000+ | 23 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [112] |
I&O Research | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,311 | 27 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 8 | [113] |
13 Feb 2022 | Nilüfer Gündoğan is suspended by Volt and opts to continue as an independent[114] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 11–12 Feb 2022 | 3,000+ | 22 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [115] |
Peil.nl | 4–5 Feb 2022 | 3,000+ | 22 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [116] |
Kantar | 27–31 Jan 2022 | 1,002 | 32 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 12 | [117] |
Peil.nl | 28–29 Jan 2022 | 3,000+ | 22 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 3 | [118] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 1,024 | 30 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 11 | [119] |
Peil.nl | 21–22 Jan 2022 | 3,000+ | 23 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | [120] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,230 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 9 | [121] |
Peil.nl | 14–15 Jan 2022 | 3,000+ | 25 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 6 | [122] |
10 Jan 2022 | Prime Minister Mark Rutte and his Fourth cabinet are inaugurated[123] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 24–25 Dec 2021 | 3,000+ | 27 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 8 | [124] |
Kantar | 15–20 Dec 2021 | 1,004 | 32 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 14 | [125] |
Ipsos | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 1,014 | 31 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | – | 10 | [126] |
Peil.nl | 17–18 Dec 2021 | 3,000+ | 27 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 8 | [127] |
Peil.nl | 10–11 Dec 2021 | 3,000+ | 30 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 11 | [128] |
I&O Research | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,053 | 29 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | – | 11 | [129] |
Peil.nl | 3–4 Dec 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | [130] |
Ipsos | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 1,008 | 34 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | – | 14 | [131] |
Peil.nl | 26–27 Nov 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | [132] |
Peil.nl | 19–20 Nov 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | [133] |
I&O Research | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,021 | 33 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | – | 16 | [134] |
Kantar | 5–9 Nov 2021 | 985 | 33 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | – | 13 | [135] |
Peil.nl | 5–6 Nov 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 18 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [136] |
Peil.nl | 29–30 Oct 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 18 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [137] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 1,026 | 35 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 16 | [138] |
Peil.nl | 15–16 Oct 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 17 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [139] |
I&O Research | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,052 | 34 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 18 | [140] |
Peil.nl | 8–9 Oct 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [141] |
Peil.nl | 1–2 Oct 2021 | 3,000+ | 36 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [142] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Sep 2021 | 994 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 18 | [143] |
Peil.nl | 24–25 Sep 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 16 | [144] |
Kantar | 17–20 Sep 2021 | 1,037 | 33 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 13 | [145] |
Peil.nl | 17–18 Sep 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 15 | [146] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Sep 2021 | 1,990 | 33 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | – | 14 | [147] |
Peil.nl | 10–11 Sep 2021 | 3,000+ | 37 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 18 | [148] |
Peil.nl | 3–4 Sep 2021 | 3,000+ | 37 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 19 | [149] |
Ipsos | 27–30 Aug 2021 | 1,008 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | – | 18 | [150] |
Peil.nl | 20–21 Aug 2021 | 3,000+ | 36 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | – | 17 | [151] |
7 Aug 2021 | The Van Haga Group officially launches a new party, BVNL[152] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 23–26 Jul 2021 | 1,004 | 37 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | – | 15 | [153] |
Peil.nl | 23–24 Jul 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 22 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | – | 13 | [154] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Jul 2021 | 1,939 | 35 | 22 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | – | 13 | [155] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Jun 2021 | 1,011 | 39 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | – | – | 16 | [156] |
Peil.nl | 25–26 Jun 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | – | – | 13 | [157] |
Peil.nl | 18–19 Jun 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | – | – | 13 | [158] |
Peil.nl | 11–12 Jun 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | – | – | 13 | [159] |
12 Jun 2021 | Pieter Omtzigt leaves the CDA and continues as an independent[160] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 4–7 Jun 2021 | 1,824 | 36 | 21 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 15 | [161] |
Peil.nl | 4–5 Jun 2021 | 3,000+ | 35 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 13 | [162] |
Peil.nl | 28–29 May 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 11 | [163] |
Ipsos | 21–23 May 2021 | 1,010 | 36 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 11 | [164] |
Peil.nl | 21–22 May 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 11 | [165] |
Peil.nl | 14–15 May 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 11 | [166] |
13 May 2021 | Wybren van Haga, Hans Smolders and Olaf Ephraim split from Forum for Democracy, forming the Van Haga Group[167] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 7–8 May 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 10 | [168] |
6 May 2021 | 50+ loses parliamentary representation when Liane den Haan leaves the party and continues as an independent[169] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 30 Apr – 3 May 2021 | 1,914 | 34 | 23 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 11 | [170] |
Peil.nl | 30 Apr – 1 May 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 10 | [171] |
Peil.nl | 23–24 Apr 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 10 | [172] |
Ipsos | 16–19 Apr 2021 | 1,014 | 35 | 26 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 9 | [173] |
Peil.nl | 16–17 Apr 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 24 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 8 | [174] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Apr 2021 | 1,738 | 34 | 26 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 8 | [175] |
Peil.nl | 9–10 Apr 2021 | 3,000+ | 31 | 24 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 7 | [176] |
Peil.nl | 2–3 Apr 2021 | 3,000+ | 28 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 3 | [177] |
Peil.nl | 26–27 Mar 2021 | 3,000+ | 33 | 24 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 9 | [178] |
2021 election | 17 Mar 2021 | – | 34 | 24 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 10 |
Vote share
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL–PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | 50+ | BBB | BIJ1 | BVNL | NSC | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 20–21 Nov 2023 | 2,473 | 17.4% | 6.0% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 17.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 13.8% | 0.2% | Tie | [6] | |
Ipsos | 16–21 Nov 2023 | 2,260 | 18.4% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | [7] | |
I&O Research | 17–20 Nov 2023 | 2,473 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 16.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 13.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | [8] | |
I&O Research | 12–14 Nov 2023 | 2,323 | 17.5% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 15.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | [10] | |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 2,052 | 18.0% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 16.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | [179] | |
I&O Research | 6–7 Nov 2023 | 2,190 | 16.6% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 18.6% | 0.5% | 2.0% | [13] | |
Ipsos | 27–30 Oct 2023 | 1,924 | 18.0% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 7.7% | 0.8% | ― | 16.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | [180] | |
I&O Research | 22–24 Oct 2023 | 2,225 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 7.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 17.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | [17] | |
Ipsos | 13–16 Oct 2023 | 1,013 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 7.6% | 1.0% | ― | 17.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | [181] | |
I&O Research | 6–9 Oct 2023 | 2,293 | 16.8% | 3.9% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 16.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | [21] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 2,288 | 17.3% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 7.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 16.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | [23] | |
Ipsos | 22–25 Sep 2023 | 1,020 | 17.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 8.2% | 1.0% | ― | 15.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | [182] | |
I&O Research | 8–11 Sep 2023 | 2,412 | 16.5% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 17.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 9.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 18.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | [26] | |
Ipsos | 1–4 Sep 2023 | 941 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 9.5% | 0.5% | ― | 17.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | [183] | |
I&O Research | 23–24 Aug 2023 | 2,398 | 13.9% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 18.0% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 8.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 20.2% | 0.2% | 2.2% | [31] | |
Ipsos | 21–24 Jul 2023 | 1,004 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 16.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 15.3% | 0.3% | – | – | 2.1% | 0.9% | [38] | |
I&O Research | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 1,718 | 15.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 17.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 13.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | – | 3.4% | 1.5% | [39] | |
Ipsos | 23–26 Jun 2023 | 1,022 | 18.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 14.5% | – | 1.2% | – | 1.6% | 3.6% | [184] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Jun 2023 | 2,364 | 13.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 17.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | – | 2.1% | 3.8% | [49] |
Ipsos | 26–29 May 2023 | 1,019 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 16.2% | 1.2% | – | – | 1.1% | 2.8% | [185] |
I&O Research | 12–15 May 2023 | 1,872 | 14.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 16.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | – | 1.8% | 1.9% | [52] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Apr 2023 | 1,002 | 16.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 19.1% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.5% | 2.3% | [186] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Apr 2023 | 2,197 | 11.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 19.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | – | 2.9% | 7.5% | [56] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Mar 2023 | 1,005 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 17.9% | 0.8% | – | – | 1.3% | 0.7% | [60] |
Provincial elections | 15 Mar 2023 | – | 11.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 19.2% | – | 1.0% | – | 4.3% | 8.0% | |
Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | 5,291 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 9.4% | – | 0.9% | – | 1.5% | 8.1% | [60] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,489 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 9.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | – | 2.5% | 3.4% | [187] |
Ipsos | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 1,002 | 18.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 6.5% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.5% | 7.3% | [188] |
I&O Research | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,489 | 15.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 7.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | – | 3.3% | 3.5% | [66] |
Ipsos | 16–19 Dec 2022 | 1,005 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 8.4% | 1.0% | – | – | 1.9% | 5.1% | [189] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Dec 2022 | 2,142 | 12.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | – | 3.6% | 1.5% | [66] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Nov 2022 | 1,040 | 17.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 7.9% | 1.3% | – | – | 1.8% | 5.2% | [190] |
I&O Research | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,069 | 13.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 8.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | – | 2.7% | 2.0% | [74] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 7.6% | 1.1% | – | – | 2.0% | 3.9% | [191] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Oct 2022 | 2,205 | 13.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | – | 0.4% | 0.8% | [78] |
Ipsos | 23–26 Sep 2022 | 1,003 | 16.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 9.4% | 0.9% | – | – | 1.5% | 3.6% | [192] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Sep 2022 | 1,789 | 14.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | – | 0.3% | 3.9% | [82] |
Ipsos | 26–29 Aug 2022 | 1,007 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 10.1% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.5% | 5.6% | [193] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Jul 2022 | 1,009 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 9.6% | 0.9% | – | – | 1.5% | 7.2% | [194] |
I&O Research | 15–18 Jul 2022 | 1,953 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 11.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | – | 2.2% | 2.5% | [87] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Jun 2022 | 1,028 | 19.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 7.8% | 0.8% | – | – | 1.4% | 9.1% | [195] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Jun 2022 | 2,151 | 15.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | – | 2.0% | 7.7% | [92] |
Ipsos | 27–30 May 2022 | 1,039 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.4% | 9.9% | [196] |
Kantar | 25–27 May 2022 | 1,078 | 19.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 8.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 9.0% | [96] |
I&O Research | 13–16 May 2022 | 2,356 | 17.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | – | 3.0% | 7.7% | [97] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 1,013 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | – | – | 1.8% | 12.1% | [197] |
I&O Research | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,403 | 17.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | – | 2.8% | 6.7% | [102] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 1,048 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | – | – | 1.8% | 8.4% | [198] |
Local elections | 16 Mar 2022 | – | 11.6% | 8.7% | 0.9% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | – | 0.6% | 0.3% | – | 35.9% | 24.3% | |
Kantar | 9–11 Mar 2022 | 1,197 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 8.0% | [96] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Feb 2022 | 1,025 | 20.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.6% | 7.2% | [110] |
I&O Research | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,311 | 16.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | – | 2.4% | 4.9% | [113] |
Kantar | 27–31 Jan 2022 | 1,002 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 8.0% | [117] |
Ipsos | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 1,024 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% | – | – | 1.0% | 7.4% | [119] |
I&O Research | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,230 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | – | 2.0% | 5.7% | [121] |
Kantar | 15–20 Dec 2021 | 1,004 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 9.0% | [125] |
Ipsos | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 1,014 | 19.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | – | – | 1.2% | 6.5% | [126] |
I&O Research | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,053 | 18.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | – | 3.0% | 6.9% | [129] |
Ipsos | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 1,008 | 21.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.3% | 8.6% | [131] |
I&O Research | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,021 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | – | 2.5% | 9.4% | [134] |
Kantar | 5–9 Nov 2021 | 985 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 8.0% | [135] |
Ipsos | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 1,026 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | – | – | 1.9% | 9.6% | [138] |
I&O Research | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,052 | 21.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | – | 4.3% | 11.5% | [140] |
Ipsos | 24–27 Sep 2021 | 994 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | – | – | 1.7% | 11.2% | [143] |
Kantar | 17–20 Sep 2021 | 1,037 | 21.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | – | – | 0.0% | 8.0% | [145] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Sep 2021 | 1,990 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | – | 1.6% | 8.6% | [147] |
Ipsos | 27–30 Aug 2021 | 1,008 | 24.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.2% | 11.1% | [150] |
Ipsos | 23–26 Jul 2021 | 1,004 | 23.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | – | – | 1.0% | 9.6% | [153] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Jul 2021 | 1,939 | 21.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | – | 1.1% | 7.8% | [155] |
Ipsos | 25–28 Jun 2021 | 1,011 | 24.6% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | – | – | 0.9% | 10.4% | [156] |
I&O Research | 4–7 Jun 2021 | 1,824 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | – | – | 1.0% | 9.3% | [161] |
Ipsos | 21–23 May 2021 | 1,010 | 22.9% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | – | – | 0.7% | 7.0% | [164] |
I&O Research | 30 Apr – 3 May 2021 | 1,914 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | – | – | 1.1% | 7.2% | [170] |
Ipsos | 16–19 Apr 2021 | 1,014 | 22.5% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | – | – | 0.8% | 5.8% | [173] |
I&O Research | 9–12 Apr 2021 | 1,738 | 21.6% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | – | – | 1.5% | 5.1% | [175] |
2021 election | 17 Mar 2021 | – | 21.9% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | – | – | 2.0%[b] | 6.9% |
Hypothetical scenarios
GroenLinks and PvdA merge into a single left-wing party
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL/PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | BBB | BIJ1 | Others | Lead | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I&O Research | 11–14 Nov 2022 | 2,069 | 15.2% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 20.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.1% | [74] |
I&O Research | 10–13 Sep 2021 | 2,207 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 19.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | [147] |
Pieter Omtzigt joins BBB
Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not join BBB.[199]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL/PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | 50+ | BBB | BIJ1 | BVNL | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 26 Mar 2023 | 4,000+ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | [59] |
Pieter Omtzigt returns to CDA
Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not return to CDA.[200]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL/PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | 50+ | BBB | BIJ1 | BVNL | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 1,728 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [39] |
Pieter Omtzigt's party
This scenario occurred on 19 August when Omtzigt founded the New Social Contract party.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | VVD | D66 | PVV | CDA | SP | GL/PvdA | FvD | PvdD | CU | Volt | JA21 | SGP | DENK | 50+ | BBB | BIJ1 | Pieter Omtzigt List | BVNL | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 18–19 Aug 2023 | 3,000+ | 25 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 2 | [34] | |
I&O Research | 14–17 Jul 2023 | 1,728 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 25 | [39] | |
Peil.nl | 15–16 Jul 2023 | 3,000+ | 23 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 6 | ||
23 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 26[a] | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 2 | |||||
Peil.nl | 26 Mar 2023 | 4,000+ | 18 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 20 | |
Peil.nl | 18 Dec 2022 | 3,000+ | 19 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 11 | |
Peil.nl | 16 Oct 2022 | 3,000+ | 20 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 8 | |
Peil.nl | 07 Aug 2022 | 3,000+ | 19 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 5 | |
Peil.nl | 27 Mar 2022 | 3,000+ | 23 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 3 | |
I&O Research | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,052 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – | 4 | 1 | 20 | 4 | Tie | |
Peil.nl | 12 Sep 2021 | 3,000+ | 34 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 9 | |
Peil.nl | 4 Apr 2021 | 3,000+ | 26 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | – | 1 | |
Peil.nl | 28 Mar 2021 | 3,000+ | 32 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | – | 9 |
See also
- Opinion polling for the 2017 Dutch general election
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Dutch general election
Notes
- ^ a b Frans Timmermans as hypothetical lead candidate
- ^ CO with 0.4%, NIDA and Splinter with 0.3%, others with 1.0%
References
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